| Player 1 |
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#player1 Will Will Anderson
#player2 Carl Carl Johnson
#title 2019 NSC Round 13
#description Will Anderson plays Carl Johnson in Round 13 at the 2019 NSC
>Will: AEIPUUY 8G YAUP +18 18
#note Pretty close with exchanging. Best thing I can say is that I didn't spend too long on this.
>Carl: CEGIIOR G8 .OGI +9 9
>Will: BDEILQU J8 .IQUED +38 56
#note Gotta recognize how lucky it is to draw BDLQ leaving EIU. Can't leave off the D after a play like YOGI.
>Carl: CEIJPRR 11I J.ICE +28 37
#note Too many ways this can go wrong. Just play JUICER. (-8) #strategylarge
>Will: ABLOSVZ M9 ZO.AL +48 104
>Carl: CIKNPRR 12D PRICK +47 84
>Will: BGISSVV K5 VIGS +26 130
>Carl: AAEMNRR H12 .NAR +24 108
#note This is better than RAM N8 because it opens up more lanes. You could argue that KARN H12 is better than KNAR because it makes the lanes tougher to block, but the plays are very close and sim about even.
>Will: BDEHSTV 6J H.VED +24 154
#note Also considered 6J VID but figured after KNAR he would be ahead of my BETHS leave to play something with VIDE.
>Carl: AAEMORT N6 .REAM +35 143
#note DREAM/AM sim even. I say this to exonerate myself from the "Quackle Report" on the live coverage, but in fact, I usually don't know what I'm doing, and if AM were a lot better than DREAM, I'd blindly accept that too.
>Will: ABHLNST L11 .HANT +34 188
>Carl: AEIORTW O7 EW +32 175
>Will: BILNSTY E10 BY.L +18 206
#note W: My thinking here, aside from scoring ok and leaving a balanced leave, is that hitting the R of KNAR before Carl would lead to a totally disastrous board, and all I would really need is an E draw for my bingo% to be very high in that spot.
C: Some expert board control here from the great wanderer. Up a tempo on a dead board is a great place to be, and this play gets him a little closer.
>Carl: ADIIORT O10 ADROIT +29 204
>Will: EINORST 15C INTRO.SE +59 265
#note W: The post SENORITA board is uncomfortable to be up 80 on, whereas the post INTRORSE board is amazing to be up 60 on.
Even BETTER board control is taking out the last lane with a bingo. This is way better than H1 SENORITA. It's 18 points less, but he's not about to let a larger lead screw him out of a sure win.
>Carl: ?AEEIOU 14B EAU +10 214
#note After a long sim... all the plays are pretty much hopeless. Exch. EEOU supposedly wins 1.2% more often. #leaveevaluationsmall
>Will: EINNSTT I7 N.T +8 273
>Carl: ?EEILOT N13 TOE +16 230
>Will: EINOSST B7 ESSONIT. +60 333
>Carl: ?EEFILO A2 OLEFInE +87 317
>Will: ABDEFGM B2 FAME +39 372
#note Only one rack in the unseen pool yields bingos for Carl: ALNORU?. If I play MABE down low, I lose to that rack; but it's just one rack out of a whole bunch he can have, and he just bingoed, so it's no likelier than random. Next thing to worry about is the X, which plays in two spots. My thinking with FAME was that if I blocked WAX up high and forced Carl to play WAX or XU down low, an O or U draw would give me high scoring reparallels on column C (EMO, EMU) that would easily outrun. Quackle suggests FADE as an 100% win but it definitely loses to several five-consonant, no-X racks.
>Carl: ?ALNOUW C3 WON +35 352
#note One minor miracle of this tournament was playing a perfect endgame on this board with about a minute on my clock. I attribute all of this to luck. We all saw how well I played a blitz endgame vs. Leesa.
>Will: BDGRX 10A B.X +12 384
>Carl: ?ALU F9 LA +14 366
>Will: DGR G14 D. +6 390
#note Missed NERD here. #endgamesmall
>Carl: ?U C10 .U +11 377
>Will: GR 12A G. +5 395
>Carl: ? 4A ...s +10 387
>Carl: (R) +2 389 |
