| Player 1 |
|
#player1 Peter_Schwartzman Peter Schwartzman
#player2 Matthew_Ridout Matthew Ridout
>Peter_Schwartzman: ?ADDIOR 8B AnDROID +70 70
#note Q likes 8G placement a little better even though it is -2 in scoring.
>Matthew_Ridout: BHKMNNO F6 KN.B +20 20
>Peter_Schwartzman: AEILNRS D3 ISLAN.ER +68 138
#note Highest scoring bingo (tied with others) but Q's best.
>Matthew_Ridout: EHLMMOO C2 MM +20 40
#note NONHOME best, mine off the board.
I hold the H hook, but the U-hook is too volatile. And my leave stinks.
>Peter_Schwartzman: EEEIJLU 1A JEU +37 175
#note Q's best, win% is 92% now
>Matthew_Ridout: EEEHLOO C10 OLEO +10 50
#note LENO C6 best chance to win by a fraction. OHM 2A valuates miles better. My play was not on the list.
>Peter_Schwartzman: EEEILOS 5C O.E +6 181
#note Not a strong play but at this point almost anything works. JEE A1 10 is better by a 0.5% win%.
>Matthew_Ridout: AEEHITU E10 ETUI +11 61
#note D12 HIE best. I guess when you're getting your butt kicked, never too early to make super-volatile lanes. My play was 4th.
>Peter_Schwartzman: EEIILSY 7B YI. +14 195
#note Q likes YE B10 30 pts better by about 1% in win%
>Matthew_Ridout: ACEGHHW B10 CAW +33 94
#note B10 WE best. Mine 5th, even at highest-scoring
>Peter_Schwartzman: AEEILSU H7 A.IEU +6 201
#note Q likes EAU A12 11 pts ...though this sets up EAUX/X___ for a big comeback play...A11 AE 13 is safer
>Matthew_Ridout: ?EGHHPX A11 PEH +21 115
#note HEX I5 2% better to win, valuates five points better. I'm kinda suprrised the difference isn't even more.
>Peter_Schwartzman: AELRSTV I2 TRAVELS +74 275
#note Q likes VARLETS I2 74 5 pts more on spread. This is the same on win%, now 99%+
>Matthew_Ridout: ?AFGHSX 12G AX +39 154
#note best. tho I'm just 2% to win now
>Peter_Schwartzman: ADIIILO 4I .IOLI +10 285
#note Q likes H1 DIOL (leaving AII) better by a bit; still anything keeps win% above 98%
>Matthew_Ridout: ?FGHIST N2 FISHGuT +90 244
#note M: seeing a word in print (was a favorite exclamatory of a character in a series I read) doesn't mean it's Scrabble-valid. I thought might be sticky-S. Neither is good.
I saw, chickened out on GOATFISH. Not seeing SHIFTING is particularly un-bueno.
Pete hed this a while. I suspect he's more certain than me about it and that it's invalid. But he's got a reply that scores well-enough to let this go with little long-term risk.
>Peter_Schwartzman: AADGIQT O1 QAT +43 328
#note SHIFTING 84 avoids challenge (which was not forthcoming)
>Matthew_Ridout: NNOORUW O7 NOW +25 269
>Peter_Schwartzman: ABDFGIS J6 FA +29 357
#note Q likes FASH 5K 34 better by 2% win%....I would have played it if I had seen it. difficult to part with the last S though!
>Matthew_Ridout: GNORRTV 10H .RG +8 277
#note 4th-best play. Exchanging to keep RT was best. I'm hoping for the miracle bingo-draw with the O-back hook.
>Peter_Schwartzman: BCDGISZ K3 C.Z +28 385
#note Q's best, apparently clinches game.
>Matthew_Ridout: NORTV K9 TORN +13 290
#note Wish I'd saved this rack. I remember the draw being awful. In his game post here, Pete questions closing this lane. That's fair.
I closed it bc given my draw, I figured I was at about 0% to win and that he was tons more likely to bingo here than me. At this late game-point there are seven bingos he could have right now that fit there, all-high prob or common knowledge plays. Me, I'm two turns from a clean-up. I've decided to try and keep him from bingoing, keeping the spread from going outrageously bad.
CP liked VOLE 5B best, and not even at 1% to win.
>Peter_Schwartzman: BDDGIPS 3M B.. +18 403
#note Q likes BIS M3 25 pts better by 10 pts in spread...nearly everything is 100% win
>Matthew_Ridout: EEENRTV H1 VEE +22 312
#note NERVE 12 K actually almost moves me to 2% to win. VEE is 0%.
>Peter_Schwartzman: DDGIPSY G2 GYP +27 430
#note Q's best, 9 better in equity/spread than KNOBS F6 (which keeps a tile in the bag)
>Matthew_Ridout: AENNRTU L4 .ARN +15 327
>Peter_Schwartzman: DDEIOS J1 IS +11 441
#note I saw SODDIE (14E 17 pts) and thought it was good but wasn't sure and didn't want to blow this 100 pt win. It would have added 25 to my spread.
>Matthew_Ridout: ENTU A1 .UN +10 337
>Peter_Schwartzman: DDEO L12 EDDO +18 459
#note Two spots, equally good!
>Peter_Schwartzman: (ET) +4 463 |
